@InProceedings{PereiraOliEscCueSeg:2017:VuSoSe,
author = "Pereira, Guilherme Reis and Oliveira, V{\^a}nia Heloise de and
Escada, Paulo Augusto Sobral and Cuellar, Miguel Dragomir Zanic
and Segundo, Francisco Fortunado",
affiliation = "{Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {} and
{Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {Instituto
Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)}",
title = "Vulnerabilidade social {\`a} seca nos sert{\~o}es brasileiros",
booktitle = "Anais...",
year = "2017",
organization = "Encontro Nacional da ANPOCS, 41.",
keywords = "Vulnerabilidade, Adapta{\c{c}}{\~a}o, Seca, Nordeste
semi{\'a}rido.",
abstract = "Nas {\'u}ltimas d{\'e}cadas as secas t{\^e}m ocorrido com mais
frequ{\^e}ncia e intensidade nas terras semi{\'a}ridas e
{\'a}ridas em v{\'a}rios pa{\'{\i}}ses e no Nordeste
brasileiro. A popula{\c{c}}{\~a}o rural {\'e} mais
vulner{\'a}vel {\`a}s sucessivas secas porque dependem da
atividade agropecu{\'a}ria e do regime de chuvas. Este trabalho
tem o objetivo de identificar a vulnerabilidade e a capacidade de
adapta{\c{c}}{\~a}o {\`a}s varia{\c{c}}{\~o}es
clim{\'a}ticas em 300 munic{\'{\i}}pios dos estados de Alagoas,
Cear{\'a}, Para{\'{\i}}ba, Pernambuco, Piau{\'{\i}} e Rio
Grande do Norte. Os resultados mostram que a seca
meteorol{\'o}gica e a vulnerabilidade social s{\~a}o
heterog{\^e}neas entre munic{\'{\i}}pios. Os
munic{\'{\i}}pios mais vulner{\'a}veis s{\~a}o aqueles onde a
maioria da popula{\c{c}}{\~a}o reside no campo, mais de 30% dela
{\'e} dedicada a atividades agropecu{\'a}rias, a produtividade
{\'e} baixa e a produ{\c{c}}{\~a}o agr{\'{\i}}cola {\'e}
pouco diversificada. Os munic{\'{\i}}pios menos vulner{\'a}veis
est{\~a}o localizados em regi{\~o}es abastecidas por bacias
hidrogr{\'a}ficas e/ou grandes reservat{\'o}rios, desenvolvem
a{\c{c}}{\~o}es de adapta{\c{c}}{\~a}o a partir da
organiza{\c{c}}{\~a}o da sociedade civil, al{\'e}m de contarem
com sistema de irriga{\c{c}}{\~a}o que permite a maior
diversifica{\c{c}}{\~a}o da produ{\c{c}}{\~a}o e melhores
respostas {\`a} seca. Na {\'u}ltima seca (2012-2014), houve uma
distribui{\c{c}}{\~a}o irregular do volume da
precipita{\c{c}}{\~a}o entre munic{\'{\i}}pios e
microrregi{\~o}es, e os impactos na produ{\c{c}}{\~a}o
agropecu{\'a}ria foram bastante heterog{\^e}neos. N{\~a}o
h{\'a} uma rela{\c{c}}{\~a}o linear e proporcional entre a
intensidade da seca e perdas socioecon{\^o}micas, pois o acesso
{\`a} {\'a}gua {\'e} desigual e a capacidade de
adapta{\c{c}}{\~a}o {\`a}s condi{\c{c}}{\~o}es adversas do
clima {\'e} distinta at{\'e} na escala municipal. ABSTRACT: In
recent decades droughts have occurred more frequently and
intensively in several countries and in the Brazilian Northeast.
The rural population is the most affected by successive droughts
because they depend on agricultural activity and rainfall. This
work aims to identify the vulnerability and adaptive capacity to
climate variations in 300 semiarid municipalities in the states of
Alagoas, Cear{\'a}, Para{\'{\i}}ba, Pernambuco, Piau{\'{\i}}
and Rio Grande do Norte. The results show that drought and social
vulnerability are heterogeneous among municipalities. The most
vulnerable are those towns where most of the population lives in
the countryside, more than 30% of it devoted to agricultural
activities, the productivity is low and the agricultural
production little diversified thus the vulnerability indicator
tends to be higher. The less vulnerable municipalities of eastern
Cear{\'a} and western Rio Grande do Norte are located in regions
supplied by river basins and/or large reservoirs besides that they
count on irrigation systems that allow for greater diversification
of production and improved responses to drought episodes. In the
last drought (2012-2014), there was an uneven distribution of the
rainfall volume among municipalities and micro-regions, and so
impacts on agricultural production were quite heterogeneous. There
is no linear and proportional relationship between drought
intensity and socioeconomic loss because the access to water is
crucial to adverse weather condition adaptation.",
conference-location = "Caxambu, MG",
conference-year = "23-27 out.",
label = "lattes: 9345374211723632 1 PereiraOliEscCueSeg:2017:VuSoSe",
language = "pt",
targetfile = "Vulnerabilidade_e_Adaptacao_a_Seca_nos_S.pdf",
url = "http://www.anpocs.com/index.php/encontros/41-encontro-anual-2017",
urlaccessdate = "27 abr. 2024"
}